Explain uncertainty using supplied ranges

A draft explanation of the ranges and what remains not stated, tied to an uncertainty glossary.

Choose one of three approaches. The steps for that option appear below.

Choose an option above. On a phone, swipe the tabs left or right to see all options →

Gemini Notebook: builds the glossary, drafts the explanation

Gemini Notebook builds the uncertainty glossary with citations and writes the first draft. You check both and decide.

  1. You

    Collect the material

  2. Gemini Notebook

    Build the glossary

  3. You

    Check the glossary

  4. Gemini Notebook

    Draft the explanation

  5. You

    Check and decide

  1. Collect the source material and constraints

    Use: You

    Have ready: the evidence summary, supplied ranges and uncertainty definitions, plus your written owner constraints.

    Check

    Open each item and confirm it is the intended one. Check your organisation allows sharing it with an outside tool.

  2. Build the uncertainty glossary

    Use: Gemini Notebook

    Upload the sources to a notebook and ask for an uncertainty glossary tied to source statements, with a citation for each item.

    Details

    What to paste into the tool

    Task: Distinguish measurement uncertainty, disagreement and missing evidence. Produce: Uncertainty glossary tied to source statements. Use only the ticked sources and cite the source for each item. Write 'still to confirm' where the sources do not say. Do not add facts or judgments.

  3. Check the glossary against the sources

    Use: You

    Check the uncertainty glossary against the original sources and correct it.

    Check

    Check the range definition and that examples do not imply unsupported likelihoods.

  4. Draft the explanation from the glossary

    Use: Gemini Notebook

    In the same notebook chat, ask for a first draft explaining the ranges and what is still to confirm, from the checked glossary.

    Details

    What to paste into the tool

    Task: Draft explanation of the ranges and what is still to confirm. Use only the checked glossary and the ticked sources and cite the source for each claim. Keep every gap marked as still to confirm. Do not add facts or judgments.

  5. Check the draft and decide

    Use: You

    Check the draft against the checked material, correct it, keep open decisions listed, then accept or reject; nothing is added that they do not state.

    Check

    Claims trace to the material; gaps stay marked. Nothing is sent, published, signed, shared or changed in a live account.

Before you paste into any AI tool, remove any confidential information. Put it back at the end.

Tools in this workflow

Final check

Confirm the range definition and that examples do not imply unsupported likelihoods.

Range meaning and source caveats are preserved without invented probabilities. Compare the result with the original inputs and keep unresolved decisions listed.

Missing facts and open decisions are listed, not filled in.

Check the result against your original inputs. Approve it before sharing or acting.

What still needs checking
  • Whether the source material may be uploaded or pasted into any of these tools is for the owner to confirm.
  • Plan and region availability of each tool is not checked on the cited pages.
  • Whether each AI step handles this material well is not yet checked; sample it on non-sensitive text first.

Share this page