Prepare a crop yield estimate from field records and stated assumptions

A low, base and high yield estimate per field, each with its arithmetic, assumptions and missing records.

Choose one of three approaches. The steps for that option appear below.

Choose an option above. On a phone, swipe the tabs left or right to see all options →

Julius AI: arithmetic from your records

Julius AI works the arithmetic as low, base and high cases from your records and assumptions. You recompute it all.

  1. The grower

    Write records, assumptions

  2. Julius AI

    Work the arithmetic

  3. The grower

    Recompute all cases

  4. Claude

    Draft one-page summary

  5. The grower

    Check, remove advice

  1. Write records and assumptions

    Use: The grower

    For each field write: label, area with unit, crop, plant count if known, past harvest you recorded; then your low, base and high assumptions.

    Check

    Check each record is from your own notes, each assumption is your choice and units are written.

  2. Work the arithmetic

    Use: Julius AI

    Ask Julius AI for the yield arithmetic per field in low, base and high cases, every calculation shown.

    Details

    What to paste into the tool

    Task: A yield estimate per field in a low, base and high case, with every calculation written out. Use only the records and assumptions below. Multiply step by step and show units at each step. Do not add any yield figure, weather effect, price or assumption that is not below. If a record is 'not known yet', do not estimate it, list it under 'missing' and show which estimate it blocks. End with a table of all assumptions used. Records: [paste records]. Assumptions: [paste assumptions].

  3. Recompute all three cases

    Use: The grower

    Recompute every field's three cases with a calculator, check units, fix errors, delete any assumption the tool added.

    Check

    Check every figure matches a hand calculation and every assumption in the table is one you stated. Write beside each estimate: 'Estimate based on stated assumptions, not a forecast'.

  4. Draft the one-page summary

    Use: Claude

    Ask Claude for a plain one-page summary of the checked estimate with the missing-records list.

    Details

    What to paste into the tool

    Task: A one-page summary of the yield estimate below for my own planning. Use only the numbers below. Show low, base and high per field, list the assumptions beside them and list missing records. Say in the first line that this is an estimate based on stated assumptions and not a forecast or a promise. Do not add advice about selling, loans, insurance or planting. Estimate: [paste checked estimate].

  5. Check numbers, remove advice

    Use: The grower

    Compare every number with your checked estimate and remove any advice; decide yourself how to use it; revisit assumptions after the next measured harvest.

    Check

    Check every number matches the checked estimate. The assistant decides nothing.

Before you paste into any AI tool, remove any confidential information. Put it back at the end.

Tools in this workflow

Deciding between Claude and Gemini for this? See the comparison.

Final check

Every assistant step is followed by you recomputing or checking the output against your own records.

The estimate is labelled as based on stated assumptions, not a forecast.

Nothing is sent, sold, signed or decided by an assistant.

Check the result against your original inputs. Approve it before sharing or acting.

What still needs checking
  • Julius AI's arithmetic accuracy for this workflow was not checked. The grower's recomputation is the check.
  • Whether the assumptions the grower chose are realistic for the crop and place is not assessed here. A local agronomist could review them.
  • The primary option is a judgement for a general user.

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