List the assumptions behind a recommendation

A draft assumption register with evidence status and the consequence if each proves wrong.

Choose one of three approaches. The steps for that option appear below.

Choose an option above. On a phone, swipe the tabs left or right to see all options →

Claude: drafts the ledger, then the register

Each material assumption has a named source, an uncertainty and a falsification question. The research lead signs off.

  1. You

    Assemble the source set

  2. Claude

    Draft the ledger

  3. You

    Check rows against originals

  4. Claude

    Draft the register

  5. The research lead

    Lead signs off

  1. Assemble the source set

    Use: You

    Assemble the recommendation draft, model inputs and supporting sources as one source set; record scope, permission limits and source IDs.

    Check

    Check every file opens and is lawfully accessible or owner-authorised.

  2. Draft the ledger in one pass

    Use: Claude

    Load the whole source set and ask for the evidence ledger in one pass.

    Details

    What to paste into the tool

    Using every supplied source, build a ledger. Evidence ledger rows with source_id, source_date when known, passage_or_cell_location, extracted_value_or_quote, evidence_status, permission_note and unresolved_question; original units and time zones kept. Use only the supplied material. Quote exactly and give the source ID and location for every line. Separate what a source says, what is inference and what is not known yet. Do not send, publish, buy, book, change any account or run code.

  3. Check every row against the originals

    Use: You

    Check every ledger row against the originals and mark rows that fail.

    Check

    Compare every extracted passage, date, identifier and numeric field with the original; flag missing or unreadable inputs.

  4. Draft the assumption register

    Use: Claude

    Ask for the assumption register: separate observed inputs, estimates and value judgements and trace downstream dependence.

    Details

    What to paste into the tool

    From the checked ledger only, draft the assumption register. Label each item as observed input, estimate or value judgment. For each material assumption give provenance, uncertainty, a falsification question and the consequence if it is wrong. Use only the supplied material. Quote exactly and give the source ID and location for every line. Separate what a source says, what is inference and what is not known yet. Do not send, publish, buy, book, change any account or run code.

  5. Sign off or return the draft

    Use: The research lead

    Sign off or return the draft, keeping evidence status gaps visible. The research lead checks materiality and unsupported certainty.

    Check

    Each material assumption has a named source, an uncertainty and a falsification question.

Before you paste into any AI tool, remove any confidential information. Put it back at the end.

Tools in this workflow

Deciding between ChatGPT and Claude for this? See the comparison.

Final check

Use only material you may lawfully use or have the owner's permission to use. Treat the output as a research suggestion for your own review.

Do not let the tool send, publish, buy, book, change an account, start monitoring or run live code on its own. You keep every decision and any later approval.

Keep the source IDs and where each passage or cell came from. Keep what the source says, your own inferences and the gaps separate.

Before the brief counts as complete, confirm each material assumption has source details, an uncertainty note and a falsification question, and the evidence trail has no open items. Check nothing overstates how sure the evidence is.

Check the result against your original inputs. Approve it before sharing or acting.

What still needs checking
  • Gemini Notebook source size and count limits were not read.

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